CryptoPunk #3016 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Normal Beard Black, Messy Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.3 ETH (about $93,896). 1σ range 35.5 to 48.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 55.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.5 to 48.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 55.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Smile +17%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8051 2026-04-09: 30.4 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8051 2026-04-08: 28.8 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9762 2026-02-23: 46.3 ETH (46.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5732 2025-10-09: 48.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5732 2025-10-08: 47.6 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9779 2025-07-29: 58.9 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9762 2025-07-26: 59.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9779 2025-04-21: 50.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.