CryptoPunk #3021 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Messy Hair, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 42.9 ETH (about $97,522). 1σ range 36.5 to 50.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.0 to 59.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 42.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.5 to 50.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.0 to 59.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Handlebars -6%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8051 2026-04-09: 30.4 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8051 2026-04-08: 28.8 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9762 2026-02-23: 46.3 ETH (46.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3390 2025-10-07: 59.7 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2292 2025-09-13: 50.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9762 2025-07-26: 59.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1370 2025-07-25: 58.7 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5930 2025-05-17: 50.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-18: 14.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-19: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-29: 24.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-15: 82.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-24: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-12: 100.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-20: 87.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.