CryptoPunk #3095 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Knitted Cap, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 70.0 ETH, 5.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4427 2025-11-20: 35.5 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4427 2025-11-11: 36.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5233 2025-07-30: 75.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5142 2025-07-28: 56.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5078 2025-07-23: 55.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3350 2025-07-20: 48.7 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1235 2025-05-19: 47.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-03: 5.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-05: 5.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-21: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-27: 76.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-27: 76.3 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-28: 81.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-28: 37.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-23: 41.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-22: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-06-23: 45.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.