CryptoPunk #3121 valuation (beta)
Male, Stringy Hair, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $80,833). 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 45.0 ETH, 3.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2524 2026-08-12: 30.4 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4064 2026-10-12: 31.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #926 2026-10-06: 34.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4064 2026-09-24: 32.5 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #926 2026-09-24: 32.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-07: 0.29 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-07: 44.7 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-11-05: 36.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-07: 32.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-11-08: 34.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.