CryptoPunk #3157 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Shaved Head.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $77,572). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2535 2025-12-11: 34.4 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9494 2025-05-26: 66.0 ETH (42.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9494 2025-05-13: 67.5 ETH (42.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3654 2024-11-15: 38.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6406 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-25: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-26: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-02: 40.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.