CryptoPunk #3159 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Wild Hair, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.0 ETH (about $79,587). 1σ range 32.0 to 38.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 41.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.0 to 38.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 41.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Handlebars -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (42.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7461 2026-06-27: 50.0 ETH (46.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7461 2025-10-19: 42.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9873 2025-07-29: 61.7 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2276 2025-04-07: 60.0 ETH (42.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7386 2025-03-17: 60.0 ETH (46.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7461 2025-01-23: 57.5 ETH (43.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7120 2025-01-20: 40.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-06-20: 0.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-01-07: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-03-30: 0.55 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-06-23: 0.99 ETH (sale)
- 2020-06-28: 1.43 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-03: 75.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-04: 85.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.