CryptoPunk #3184 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Shadow Beard, Wild Hair, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $92,447). 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 48.6 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 13.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 48.6 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3330 2025-01-14: 48.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (58.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5448 2026-10-01: 35.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (43.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2648 2026-05-25: 35.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7440 2026-05-12: 39.5 ETH (40.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-10-04: 0.45 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.