CryptoPunk #3194 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Earring, Cap Forward, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $83,586). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5661 2025-09-09: 50.2 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1717 2026-08-23: 38.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-13: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-11: 31.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.