CryptoPunk #3195 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.5 ETH (about $69,249). 1σ range 28.0 to 33.2 ETH, 2σ range 25.7 to 36.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 101 ETH, 14.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.0 to 33.2 ETH, 2σ range 25.7 to 36.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #402 2025-07-20: 48.4 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5635 2026-10-04: 33.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5635 2026-09-29: 32.3 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5635 2026-09-29: 31.2 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-28: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 29.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 34.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 38.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 42.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-20: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-25: 101 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.