CryptoPunk #3196 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Earring, Knitted Cap, Cigarette, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,706). 1σ range 27.9 to 33.6 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.9 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.9 to 33.6 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.9 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Goat -7%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1235 2025-05-19: 47.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1235 2025-01-14: 38.4 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3350 2025-07-20: 48.7 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-24: 52.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-10: 39.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-05: 36.9 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3350 2024-11-21: 45.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-02-04: 0.20 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.