CryptoPunk #3197 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Top Hat, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 56.8 ETH (about $129,241). 1σ range 42.4 to 76.2 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 102 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 199 ETH, 4.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 56.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 42.4 to 76.2 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 102 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7425 2025-04-26: 85.0 ETH (58.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #638 2025-03-09: 76.0 ETH (59.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-09-27: 32.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-05: 80.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.