CryptoPunk #3204 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Pipe, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,551). 1σ range 29.4 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.4 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8557 2026-09-11: 32.3 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-07-04: 34.4 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-06-04: 31.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5455 2026-04-26: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2830 2026-04-22: 35.5 ETH (36.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8990 2026-02-24: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-02-23: 0.09 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-31: 118 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-31: 133 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.