CryptoPunk #3233 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Hoodie, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 126 ETH (about $286,274). 1σ range 63.5 to 249 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 494 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 1,000 ETH, 3.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 126 ETH (beta), 1σ range 63.5 to 249 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 494 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4220 2025-03-14: 135 ETH (105 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7213 2026-05-04: 115 ETH (111 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7213 2026-04-23: 101 ETH (104 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-04-01: 38.0 ETH (40.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-06: 0.39 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-26: 330 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.