CryptoPunk #3254 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Earring, Dark Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $68,279). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5629 2026-03-11: 29.8 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #843 2025-09-03: 90.1 ETH (56.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4332 2024-11-30: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4332 2024-11-26: 34.5 ETH (27.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #843 2024-11-15: 69.0 ETH (54.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-06-17: 2.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-27: 4.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 38.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 44.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 54.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-17: 42.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-17: 44.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-18: 44.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.