CryptoPunk #3316 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Clown Hair Green, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 120 ETH, 10.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8661 2024-11-13: 30.9 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8661 2024-11-08: 26.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3103 2026-02-06: 28.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3103 2026-02-03: 25.9 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6056 2026-01-08: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1117 2026-01-05: 32.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6557 2025-11-25: 38.0 ETH (36.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6557 2025-10-28: 39.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-14: 13.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-23: 19.6 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.