CryptoPunk #3410 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Headband.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $89,185). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2298 2026-09-30: 34.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5273 2025-08-25: 65.0 ETH (41.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5273 2025-08-06: 59.0 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5273 2025-05-10: 54.6 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5273 2025-05-01: 51.8 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5273 2025-04-10: 48.0 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8050 2025-01-21: 44.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-02: 4.97 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.