CryptoPunk #3416 valuation (beta)
Male, Purple Hair, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $83,682). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8557 2026-09-11: 32.3 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7358 2026-09-01: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8480 2026-08-25: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-12: 30.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2720 2026-08-10: 38.9 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3041 2026-08-10: 39.0 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-03: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2019-04-07: 0.55 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-02: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 38.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.