CryptoPunk #3426 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Bandana, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.1 ETH (about $79,879). 1σ range 32.1 to 38.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 41.1 ETH, 1.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.1 to 38.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2947 2026-01-02: 27.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-21: 42.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-16: 42.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7962 2025-01-19: 50.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1717 2026-08-23: 38.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-06: 5.12 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-02: 83.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-08: 90.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-11-09: 74.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.