CryptoPunk #3433 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Peak Spike, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,551). 1σ range 29.4 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 57.1 ETH, 7.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.4 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9950 2026-08-08: 39.7 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (88.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8155 2026-05-24: 40.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6785 2026-02-20: 38.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6785 2026-01-31: 27.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-05-06: 0.44 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-29: 5.65 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-24: 22.2 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-11: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-04: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-21: 47.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-08: 47.6 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-08: 47.6 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.