CryptoPunk #3444 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Earring, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.6 ETH (about $99,088). 1σ range 36.8 to 51.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 61.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.8 to 51.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 61.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Smile +17%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (43.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-06-19: 36.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1118 2026-05-08: 61.0 ETH (59.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-12-15: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-14: 44.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-05: 100 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-07: 115 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-02-27: 120 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.