CryptoPunk #3461 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Do-rag, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.4 ETH (about $87,229). 1σ range 34.1 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 48.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.1 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 48.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4325 2026-07-25: 38.5 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4325 2026-07-23: 32.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8129 2026-04-14: 40.0 ETH (46.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9119 2026-02-06: 33.8 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-02-01: 30.7 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3020 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-01-16: 30.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-01-10: 29.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-09-08: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-30: 49.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.