CryptoPunk #3469 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Police Cap, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.6 ETH (about $90,100). 1σ range 34.6 to 45.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 51.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.6 to 45.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 51.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2401 2026-02-01: 28.5 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2401 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8834 2024-11-24: 45.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8834 2024-11-11: 29.9 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4523 2026-08-07: 58.0 ETH (53.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-09-07: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-12: 115 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.