CryptoPunk #3473 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Headband, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $71,445). 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2976 2026-02-20: 30.7 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7950 2026-01-12: 32.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8151 2025-11-11: 33.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8151 2025-07-08: 40.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8151 2025-07-01: 39.2 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-06-26: 48.4 ETH (37.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-06-12: 50.4 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4390 2025-03-28: 43.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-11: 1.40 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-24: 2.15 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-17: 21.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-25: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-21: 71.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.