CryptoPunk #3490 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Wild White Hair, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 42.5 ETH (about $102,966). 1σ range 35.8 to 50.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 59.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 180 ETH, 8.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 42.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.8 to 50.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 59.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Wild White Hair +35%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6753 2026-05-14: 60.0 ETH (61.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6753 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (85.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9546 2026-08-20: 40.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-08-06: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-21: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2017-08-08: 0.59 ETH (sale)
- 2019-02-21: 0.75 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 99.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-11: 105 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-01-19: 42.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.