CryptoPunk #3503 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Pilot Helmet, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 59.8 ETH (about $135,973). 1σ range 42.7 to 83.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 117 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 1,250 ETH, 9.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 59.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 42.7 to 83.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 117 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Pilot Helmet +87%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8674 2026-09-22: 35.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2120 2026-06-28: 100 ETH (92.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8674 2026-05-25: 33.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5508 2026-04-25: 30.1 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #563 2026-03-22: 35.4 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4788 2026-03-05: 52.0 ETH (52.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #563 2026-02-24: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #843 2025-09-03: 90.1 ETH (56.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.