CryptoPunk #3509 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Mohawk, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.3 ETH (about $71,217). 1σ range 28.9 to 34.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 36.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 34.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 36.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9119 2026-02-06: 33.8 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4172 2025-12-29: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4172 2025-12-09: 33.0 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 36.8 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 34.0 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-11: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-24: 2.16 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-27: 3.10 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-15: 19.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-29: 23.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-10: 79.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-13: 83.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.