CryptoPunk #3533 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.6 ETH (about $67,377). 1σ range 27.0 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 24.7 to 35.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.0 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 24.7 to 35.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4011 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7416 2025-07-08: 41.8 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7416 2025-06-20: 40.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4875 2025-04-27: 44.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4875 2025-01-26: 43.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-27: 90.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-05: 99.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 99.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-25: 102 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-16: 86.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-01: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-27: 66.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-04: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-04: 43.1 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-02: 39.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.