CryptoPunk #3534 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Straight Hair Dark, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #563 2026-03-22: 35.4 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #563 2026-02-24: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8674 2026-09-22: 35.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2710 2026-09-21: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2654 2026-06-30: 86.0 ETH (80.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8674 2026-05-25: 33.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5508 2026-04-25: 30.1 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-30: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-05: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-20: 24.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-14: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-19: 74.7 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-26: 65.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-08: 51.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-12-24: 56.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.