CryptoPunk #3540 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Wild Hair, Pipe, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.0 ETH (about $79,587). 1σ range 31.8 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.8 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 42.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Handlebars -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8246 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7461 2026-06-27: 50.0 ETH (46.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9795 2026-01-25: 31.9 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9795 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7461 2025-10-19: 42.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3390 2025-10-07: 59.7 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2663 2025-10-07: 48.7 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2663 2025-10-05: 48.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-01: 0.05 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.