CryptoPunk #3561 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Earring, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,735). 1σ range 28.2 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 36.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.2 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 36.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (43.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-06-19: 36.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7310 2026-05-17: 32.9 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6042 2026-04-10: 92.5 ETH (99.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-24: 2.79 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-16: 8.60 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-11: 18.6 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-11: 18.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 29.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 34.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 36.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-14: 50.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.