CryptoPunk #3563 valuation (beta)
Male, Stringy Hair, Cigarette, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.6 ETH (about $85,580). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Stringy Hair -9%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-05-11: 32.2 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-04-17: 27.7 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-03-29: 0.75 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-07-02: 1.20 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-12: 1.95 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-16: 63.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-20: 83.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-16: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-27: 79.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-26: 84.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-29: 78.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.