CryptoPunk #3574 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Mole, Earring, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9288 2024-12-19: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9288 2024-12-12: 42.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8674 2026-09-22: 35.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-26: 0.15 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.