CryptoPunk #3581 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Tassle Hat, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4092 2026-06-27: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9120 2026-02-24: 33.3 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6667 2026-01-23: 36.5 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6667 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9120 2025-08-18: 61.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #857 2025-08-10: 60.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9120 2025-07-31: 56.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7082 2025-05-24: 46.9 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-14: 0.16 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-27: 14.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-15: 29.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-29: 20.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-22: 27.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-14: 75.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.