CryptoPunk #3614 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Hoodie.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 121 ETH (about $276,178). 1σ range 62.4 to 236 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 460 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 344 ETH, 1.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 121 ETH (beta), 1σ range 62.4 to 236 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 460 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4770 2026-03-28: 117 ETH (122 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5402 2026-02-09: 144 ETH (145 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5402 2026-02-02: 114 ETH (122 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4220 2025-03-14: 135 ETH (105 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8868 2025-03-01: 289 ETH (250 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8868 2025-02-06: 206 ETH (165 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5473 2025-01-31: 162 ETH (125 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-25: 0.15 ETH (sale)
- 2017-06-29: 0.29 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-28: 9.99 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-09: 275 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.