CryptoPunk #3646 valuation (beta)
Female, Stringy Hair, Cigarette, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.3 ETH (about $66,550). 1σ range 27.6 to 31.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 32.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 33.7 ETH, 2.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.6 to 31.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 32.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Stringy Hair -3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2286 2025-05-13: 49.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2286 2025-05-08: 43.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9377 2024-12-02: 43.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9377 2024-12-01: 41.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3859 2026-10-08: 36.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #242 2026-10-01: 35.3 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-05-31: 30.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.