CryptoPunk #3650 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Vampire Hair, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.0 ETH (about $72,864). 1σ range 29.6 to 34.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 37.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 125 ETH, 17.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 34.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 37.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #940 2025-07-28: 56.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5512 2025-07-28: 57.3 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5512 2025-07-28: 54.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8960 2025-07-26: 54.7 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3001 2025-04-13: 44.8 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3001 2025-04-12: 44.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6935 2025-03-26: 135 ETH (98.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3001 2024-12-28: 40.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-15: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 19.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-15: 20.8 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-23: 24.7 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-05: 70.1 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.