CryptoPunk #3740 valuation (beta)
Male, Cap, Vape.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $83,682). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 199 ETH, 16.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4241 2026-09-22: 36.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-08-22: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5523 2026-08-10: 35.3 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-29: 165 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-06: 148 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.