CryptoPunk #3754 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Stringy Hair, Vape, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.0 ETH (about $75,028). 1σ range 30.2 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 39.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 111 ETH, 13.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 39.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-12: 30.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-08-22: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2720 2026-08-10: 38.9 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-03-22: 0.35 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-19: 0.70 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-22: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-27: 1.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-06: 70.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.