CryptoPunk #3793 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Blonde Bob, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $72,680). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 33.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 33.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2127 2026-01-15: 29.4 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5108 2025-11-24: 36.0 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9152 2025-10-08: 49.6 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #103 2025-10-07: 48.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3961 2025-08-10: 75.0 ETH (42.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #603 2025-08-09: 64.7 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8774 2025-08-09: 54.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8774 2025-08-05: 51.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-13: 4.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-03: 8.80 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.