CryptoPunk #3794 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Earring, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.4 ETH (about $64,595). 1σ range 25.6 to 31.5 ETH, 2σ range 23.1 to 34.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.6 to 31.5 ETH, 2σ range 23.1 to 34.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Chinstrap -5%, Earring -2%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4064 2026-10-12: 31.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4064 2026-09-24: 32.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1717 2026-08-23: 38.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-09: 41.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-11: 48.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 85.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.