CryptoPunk #3796 valuation (beta)
Female, Bandana, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.9 ETH (about $70,176). 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7218 2024-11-14: 32.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7218 2024-11-13: 31.0 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5991 2024-11-11: 27.5 ETH (28.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-10-09: 33.3 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3859 2026-10-08: 36.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-14: 0.08 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-13: 22.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-30: 115 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-03: 62.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-07: 63.3 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-22: 63.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.