CryptoPunk #3802 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Earring, Mohawk Dark.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 27.7 ETH (about $63,033). 1σ range 24.8 to 31.0 ETH, 2σ range 22.2 to 34.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 27.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.8 to 31.0 ETH, 2σ range 22.2 to 34.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9787 2026-09-24: 33.3 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2128 2026-09-23: 35.8 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9787 2026-09-22: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-08-22: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-18: 0.31 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-23: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-31: 81.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.