CryptoPunk #3812 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Spots, Straight Hair Blonde, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.2 ETH (about $70,873). 1σ range 29.5 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 118 ETH, 24.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5295 2025-11-06: 50.0 ETH (42.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-07-22: 53.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-03-31: 45.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7802 2026-09-04: 31.9 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6631 2026-08-12: 31.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6631 2026-08-12: 30.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-05-23: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-06: 26.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 133 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-26: 71.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-30: 72.8 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-01-28: 86.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-11: 78.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-01: 51.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.