CryptoPunk #3814 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Spots, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.1 ETH (about $104,336). 1σ range 36.6 to 50.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 59.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.6 to 50.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 59.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Smile +17%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9016 2026-05-19: 35.4 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9016 2026-05-11: 33.5 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9984 2026-04-27: 30.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1362 2026-02-19: 30.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5655 2026-02-06: 40.0 ETH (40.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6058 2026-02-02: 31.0 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-11-23: 41.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.