CryptoPunk #3817 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Do-rag.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $71,646). 1σ range 29.1 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4360 2025-11-14: 31.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2557 2025-07-23: 49.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2557 2025-07-20: 41.0 ETH (26.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-24: 52.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-10: 39.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-05: 36.9 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-08: 17.5 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2021-08-01: 32.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-10: 46.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-21: 51.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 54.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 57.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-27: 77.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-11-15: 65.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-23: 66.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.