CryptoPunk #3820 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Earring, Mohawk, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.4 ETH (about $78,261). 1σ range 31.3 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 41.6 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 41.6 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1812 2026-05-14: 34.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-04-01: 31.1 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-04-01: 31.1 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-02-05: 34.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2025-09-01: 45.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2025-07-13: 46.3 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2025-06-24: 42.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2025-03-25: 51.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-26: 0.16 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.