CryptoPunk #3830 valuation (beta)
Male, Headband, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $87,188). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7264 2025-09-03: 44.7 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7264 2025-08-29: 44.0 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4552 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5586 2025-05-29: 70.1 ETH (46.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7264 2024-12-12: 39.9 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7280 2024-11-21: 49.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-04-27: 0.54 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.