CryptoPunk #3837 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Frumpy Hair, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.6 ETH (about $85,546). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2004 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4942 2026-02-05: 34.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2266 2025-12-12: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2025-10-24: 37.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4193 2025-10-06: 51.3 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1317 2025-04-14: 44.8 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-02-14: 41.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-05: 35.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.