CryptoPunk #3839 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Earring, Crazy Hair, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.7 ETH (about $89,035). 1σ range 32.9 to 41.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 45.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.9 to 41.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 45.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8264 2026-10-14: 55.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2505 2026-08-20: 32.3 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2524 2026-08-12: 30.4 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2720 2026-08-10: 38.9 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2720 2026-07-23: 30.6 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-10-06: 5.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 20.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.