CryptoPunk #3851 valuation (beta)
Male, Shaved Head, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,757). 1σ range 29.1 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Shaved Head -7%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5403 2026-06-05: 31.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5403 2026-05-27: 31.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-09-03: 44.0 ETH (27.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-07-18: 52.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-05-13: 45.9 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-04-04: 44.9 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2024-11-15: 37.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2024-11-08: 26.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-06-18: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 1.90 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-20: 2.22 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-17: 11.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 17.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 34.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-07: 52.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.